{"id":2018,"date":"2014-05-26T15:21:59","date_gmt":"2014-05-26T18:21:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ciclovida.ufpr.br\/?p=2018"},"modified":"2014-05-26T15:21:59","modified_gmt":"2014-05-26T18:21:59","slug":"o-que-esta-acontecendo-com-a-regiao-metropolitana-de-sao-paulo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ciclovida.ufpr.br\/?p=2018","title":{"rendered":"O que esta acontecendo com a Regi\u00e3o Metropolitana de S\u00e3o Paulo"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

An\u00e1lise das Viagens por Modo de transporte<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/b><\/p>\n

Carlos Paiva*<\/b><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Mantendo o padr\u00e3o de an\u00e1lise dos dados socioecon\u00f4micos: popula\u00e7\u00e3o, empregos e matr\u00edculas vamos inicialmente analisar as viagens de Auto, Transporte Individual, Coletivo, A P\u00e9, Bicicleta e Moto com origem nas mesmas \u00e1reas: Regi\u00e3o Metropolitana de S\u00e3o Paulo (RMSP), munic\u00edpio de S\u00e3o Paulo, Centro expandido da cidade de S\u00e3o Paulo* e Oeste 2** (interesse espec\u00edfico). Cabe comentar que o tipo de viagem transporte coletivo \u00e9 composto de metr\u00f4, trem e \u00f4nibus de linha, fretado e escolar, enquanto o tipo individual \u00e9 composto de dirigindo auto (auto), passageiro de auto, t\u00e1xi e moto.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

Algumas observa\u00e7\u00f5es importantes baseadas nos resultados acima podem ser feitas:<\/p>\n

1.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0Podemos observar que o crescimento do n\u00famero total de viagens (todos os modos) nas \u00e1reas analisadas: RMSP, S\u00e3o Paulo e Centro Expandido foram entre 13 e 19%. O maior crescimento (19%) ocorreu no Centro Expandido de S\u00e3o Paulo, viagens com origem nesta regi\u00e3o que teve um crescimento populacional de 20%, bem maior que a m\u00e9dia da RMSP de apenas 2%.<\/p>\n

2.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0A RMSP teve um crescimento do n\u00famero de viagens entre 2007 e 2012 (15%), bem superior ao da popula\u00e7\u00e3o (cerca de 2%), exceto para as viagens de bicicleta onde houve um decr\u00e9scimo das viagens em rela\u00e7\u00e3o a 2007, contudo, vale a pena comentar, que o n\u00famero de viagens do modo bicicleta \u00e9 muito pequeno quando comparado a outros modos (cerca de 2% dos modos individual, a p\u00e9 ou coletivo, o que leva a grandes erros amostrais, principalmente em uma pesquisa agregada com a de 2012.\u00a0O crescimento do n\u00famero de viagens em quase todos os modos (exce\u00e7\u00e3o bicicleta) \u00e9 superior ao crescimento da popula\u00e7\u00e3o indicando uma maior mobilidade desta popula\u00e7\u00e3o, resultante, a meu ver, da maior atividade econ\u00f4mica dos \u00faltimos anos.<\/p>\n

3.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0O munic\u00edpio de S\u00e3o Paulo tamb\u00e9m teve um crescimento da mobilidade em todos os modos (crescimento do n\u00famero de viagens \u2013 13%, maior que o crescimento da popula\u00e7\u00e3o, que foi de 5%), mas este crescimento foi menor que o ocorrido na RMSP, exce\u00e7\u00e3o unicamente as viagens de Bicicleta.<\/p>\n

4.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0Comparando-se a varia\u00e7\u00e3o do n\u00famero de viagens de bicicleta nas diversas \u00e1reas: RMSP, S\u00e3o Paulo e Centro Expandido da cidade de S\u00e3o Paulo, verifica-se que houve um crescimento muito significativo no centro expandido, 70%, e uma diminui\u00e7\u00e3o destas viagens nas regi\u00f5es mais perif\u00e9ricas, o que provavelmente se deve a substitui\u00e7\u00e3o da bicicleta pela moto nas popula\u00e7\u00f5es de menor renda.<\/p>\n

5.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0Observa-se claramente que onde houve os maiores decr\u00e9scimos do n\u00famero de viagens de bicicleta, RMSP sem Centro Expandido e RMSP sem S\u00e3o Paulo, -17% e -29% respectivamente, \u00e9 onde ocorreu o crescimento significativo do n\u00famero de viagens de moto, 55% e 35% respectivamente.<\/p>\n

6.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0Como a pesquisa \u00e9 domiciliar deve-se ter claro que as viagens de moto n\u00e3o levam em conta servi\u00e7os de entrega realizados com este ve\u00edculo, que com certeza cresceu muito estes anos. Observa-se um crescimento em torno de 50% na RMSP e na cidade de S\u00e3o Paulo e uma diminui\u00e7\u00e3o de -15% das viagens de moto (sem contar as viagens de entregas) no Centro Expandido de Paulo mesmo com aumento da popula\u00e7\u00e3o em 20%. A prov\u00e1vel explica\u00e7\u00e3o deste fato \u00e9 que esta \u00e1rea da RMSP \u00e9 a mais bem servida de transporte coletivo (metr\u00f4s, trens e \u00f4nibus), o que minimiza a necessidade da noto como meio de transporte.<\/p>\n

7.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0Na regi\u00e3o Oeste 2, cortada pela Rodovia Castelo Branco (interesse espec\u00edfico) observa-se um crescimento expressivo de viagens para todos os modos exceto viagens a p\u00e9. Chama a aten\u00e7\u00e3o nesta regi\u00e3o o crescimento bastante significativo das viagens de bicicleta, o que n\u00e3o acontece em outras zonas mais perif\u00e9ricas e o de auto e transporte coletivo mais de 2 vezes a m\u00e9dia da RMSP.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\"image006<\/a>
\n<\/a> \"image006\"<\/a><\/p>\n

* Carlos Paiva<\/b>\u00a0\u00e9 engenheiro eletr\u00f4nico e mestre em transporte pela Escola Polit\u00e9cnica da USP, doutor em servi\u00e7o social pela PUC-SP e especialista em planejamento e modelagem de transporte e tr\u00e1fego no Grupo CCR e membro do conselho editorial da Revista da ANTP. Trabalhou durante 20 anos no Planejamento da CET-SP tendo desenvolvidos trabalhos nas \u00e1reas de Geoprocessamento, Estat\u00edstica Espacial e Modelagem e 20 anos no Desenvolvimento de Sistemas para empresas como o Grupo P\u00e3o de A\u00e7\u00facar, Banco CCF, Asea Brown Boveri, Grupo Vicunha, etc.<\/p>\n

Possui diversos artigos publicados em revistas t\u00e9cnicas e jornais de grande circula\u00e7\u00e3o, veja\u00a0http:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/paivacarlos<\/a><\/p>\n

E-mail:\u00a0paivacardoso@yahoo.com.br<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

An\u00e1lise das Viagens por Modo de transporte \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 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